TRUMP’S IRAN WAR: ANATOMY OF A DEBACLE

[This article first appeared at Common Dreams on April 21, 2026.]

by Steven J. Harper

When he declared war on Iran in violation of international law and the U.S. Constitution, President Donald Trump announced several objectives. He claims to have won the war, but Iran is emerging as the long-term victor.

Let’s count the ways.

“Regime Change”

No one doubted the capacity of the U.S. armed forces to decimate Iran’s far inferior military force. But to what end?

Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convinced Trump that launching the attack would prompt a popular uprising that would lead to the overthrow of Iran’s theocracy. Listening to Netanyahu’s assertion, CIA Director John Ratcliffe called it “farcical.” Secretary of State and National Security Adviser Marco Rubio translated that word into language Trump would understand, “In other words, it’s bullshit.”

Trump chose to believe Netanyahu. Announcing the U.S.-Israeli assault, Trump told Iranians that this was their opportunity to reclaim their country. To win the war on Trump’s terms, the Iranian theocracy needed only to survive.

The attack killed the Supreme Leader of Iran and top members of the government. But immediately, the serpent grew another head – the Supreme Leader’s son, Mojtaba Khamenei, who had lost his wife and teenage son in the bombing. The new leader is known for deep, long-standing ties to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) security establishment. His appointment signaled a transition to a more heavily militarized, hardline, and anti-Western regime.

Trump calls this “regime change.” By his definition, Admiral Karl Dönitz succeeding Adolf Hitler as head of the German state near the end of World War II constituted regime change too.

The Iran theocracy survived in an even more militant form.

Score: Iran 1, Trump 0

“Contain Iran”

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DONALD TRUMP’S DESPERATION OVER IRAN

[This article first appeared at Common Dreams on March 18, 2026.]

by Steven J. Harper

President Donald Trump is a victim of his own success. After a quick strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities last June and the capture of Venezuela’s corrupt president in January, the U.S. military made war look easy and Trump feel omnipotent.

Three weeks into a more daunting excursion into Iran, Trump is now a desperate leader.

Trump’s Latest Grudge Match

With Trump, everything is personal. A growing body of evidence suggests that a principal objective in attacking Iran was the assassination of the country’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. For example:

· When the C.I.A. learned that the Ayatollah and top Iranian officials would be meeting in a militarily accessible location, a previously planned nighttime strike was moved up to the middle of the day.

· On Sunday night, March 1, shortly after reports that the U.S.-Israeli attack had killed the Ayatollah, Trump said, “I got him before he got me.” He was referring to an alleged plot to kill Trump during the 2024 presidential campaign as retribution for the January 2020 U.S. strike that killed Iran’s military leader Qasem Soleimani, the commander of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps,

· The desire to downplay Trump’s desire for vengeance explains why he and his minions have offered more noble – and contradictory – justifications for the war, including:

· To eliminate Iran’s nuclear capability (although Trump claimed to have done that with the June attack).

· To help the Iranian people secure their freedom (Trump);

· To attack Iran because Israel was going to do it and that would result in Iran’s attack on U.S. assets in the Middle East (Secretary of State Marco Rubio);

· To attack Iran first, not because Israel was going to do it anyway, but because Trump had a gut feeling that Iran was going to attack the U.S. (Trump). But Pentagon officials informed Congress that no intelligence supported Trump’s opinion;

Mission Accomplished?

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TRUMP’S INCOMPETENT WAR

[This post first appeared at Common Dreams on March 9, 2026.]

by Steven J. Harper

Minimally competent leaders would have considered at least five obvious questions before launching the nation into war. President Donald Trump considered none of them.

#1: What’s the Objective?

It’s not surprising that more than half of all Americans oppose Trump’s War. From the outset, his administration has offered numerous and contradictory justifications for it.

February 28:

· Trump cited 47 years of grievances, a desire to destroy Iran’s missiles, and a message that the Iranian people should “seize the moment” because now was their chance to “be brave, be bold, be heroic, and take back your country.”

· But he also said that the attack was a campaign to “eliminate the imminent nuclear threat,” although Trump had boasted in June that the United States had already accomplished that feat.

· The same day, Trump told the Washington Post, “All I want if freedom for the people.”

· U.N. Ambassador Mike Walz claimed to the United Nations Security Council that the U.S. was invoking the right of self-defense in response to Iran’s imminent threat.

· But the next day, Pentagon officials told congressional staff members that no intelligence supported the notion that Iran was planning to attack the U.S. first.

March 2:

· Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth told the press that the objective was retaliation for decades of Iranian behavior, destruction of their missiles, and providing an opportunity for Iranians to “take advantage of this incredible opportunity.”

· But only hours later, Secretary of State Marco Rubio offered a new justification for the war: Israel was going to attack Iran and, if that happened, Iran would then attack U.S. interests in the region. He made it sound as if Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had maneuvered Trump into a corner.

· The next day, Trump contradicted Rubio, saying, “It was my opinion that they [Iran] were going to attack first. They were going to attack if we didn’t do it.” Rebutting any impression that Netanyahu had manipulated him, Trump added, “If anything, I might have forced Israel’s hand.”

· Rubio complained that his earlier remarks had been taken out of context and the operation “had to happen anyway.”

March 6:

· Trump posted on social media that only “unconditional surrender” would end the war.

#2: How Long Will It Last?

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